Predicting MSI in colorectal cancer with AI: when CT and histology speak to biology

⚖️ Transparency notice: this article was written with AI assistance and reviewed by the author, a medical oncologist.

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Predicting MSI in colorectal cancer with AI: when CT and histology speak to biology

Published on 19 August 2026

⚖️ Transparency notice: this article was written with AI assistance and reviewed by the author, a medical oncologist.

The uncomfortable question before deciding

A patient with newly diagnosed colorectal cancer and no molecular results. The decision regarding immunotherapy may depend on one piece of data — the microsatellite instability (MSI) status — which today requires a test on tumor tissue: immunohistochemistry of MMR proteins or PCR. What if we could anticipate it with the images we already have, without waiting for the lab? That is what a paper published in Academic Radiology attempts: a deep learning model that combines radiology and histology to predict MSI non-invasively.

The study

Researchers from two medical centers retrospectively analyzed 509 patients with pathology-confirmed colorectal cancer. The design follows the standard of medical AI studies:

  • Center 1 (n = 379): divided into training (n = 261) and internal validation (n = 118)
  • Center 2 (n = 130): independent external validation, with patients from another hospital
  • Model: deep learning features extracted from multiphase CT (radiomics) and from hematoxylin-eosin stained histological preparations (pathomics) using a pretrained ResNet-101 network, plus clinical variables, integrated into a multiomic nomogram
  • Interpretability: SHAP analysis to understand what each modality contributes to the prediction

Results: the multiomic nomogram makes the difference

Model Training AUC Internal validation AUC External validation AUC
Multiomic nomogram (CT + histology + clinical) 0.996 0.999 0.993
Individual scores (radiomics, pathomics, preoperative) 0.919–0.963 (range across the three cohorts)
Clinical model 0.790 0.761 0.756

In the original study (PMID 42595634, DOI 10.1016/j.acra.2026.07.069), the nomogram integrating the three sources achieved a training AUC of 0.996, internal validation AUC of 0.999, and external validation AUC of 0.993, compared to 0.790/0.761/0.756 for the model using only clinical variables. In other words: adding imaging (CT + histology) to clinical data resulted in a huge leap in discriminative capacity — and the most important point is that it held up in patients from a center that did not participate in training.

What does AI see that we don’t?

Here is the conceptual key: the model is not reading mutations or sequences. It is detecting patterns — tumor texture on CT, gland architecture, cell density, stromal morphology on hist

— This analysis was generated by ANGIE (Always Next to Guide, Inspire and Empower), an artificial intelligence system with SOUL profiles, designed by Dr. Javier Pumares Pérez.

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Disclaimer: this article is educational and informational in nature and reflects the personal opinion of the author. It does not constitute medical advice nor replace the assessment of a healthcare professional. If you have a health concern, consult your physician.