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Predicting MSI in colorectal cancer with AI: when CT and histology speak to biology
Published on 19 August 2026
⚖️ Transparency notice: this article was written with AI assistance and reviewed by the author, a medical oncologist.
The uncomfortable question before deciding
A patient with newly diagnosed colorectal cancer and no molecular results. The decision regarding immunotherapy may depend on one piece of data — the microsatellite instability (MSI) status — which today requires a test on tumor tissue: immunohistochemistry of MMR proteins or PCR. What if we could anticipate it with the images we already have, without waiting for the lab? That is what a paper published in Academic Radiology attempts: a deep learning model that combines radiology and histology to predict MSI non-invasively.
The study
Researchers from two medical centers retrospectively analyzed 509 patients with pathology-confirmed colorectal cancer. The design follows the standard of medical AI studies:
- Center 1 (n = 379): divided into training (n = 261) and internal validation (n = 118)
- Center 2 (n = 130): independent external validation, with patients from another hospital
- Model: deep learning features extracted from multiphase CT (radiomics) and from hematoxylin-eosin stained histological preparations (pathomics) using a pretrained ResNet-101 network, plus clinical variables, integrated into a multiomic nomogram
- Interpretability: SHAP analysis to understand what each modality contributes to the prediction
Results: the multiomic nomogram makes the difference
| Model | Training AUC | Internal validation AUC | External validation AUC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Multiomic nomogram (CT + histology + clinical) | 0.996 | 0.999 | 0.993 |
| Individual scores (radiomics, pathomics, preoperative) | 0.919–0.963 (range across the three cohorts) | ||
| Clinical model | 0.790 | 0.761 | 0.756 |
In the original study (PMID 42595634, DOI 10.1016/j.acra.2026.07.069), the nomogram integrating the three sources achieved a training AUC of 0.996, internal validation AUC of 0.999, and external validation AUC of 0.993, compared to 0.790/0.761/0.756 for the model using only clinical variables. In other words: adding imaging (CT + histology) to clinical data resulted in a huge leap in discriminative capacity — and the most important point is that it held up in patients from a center that did not participate in training.
What does AI see that we don’t?
Here is the conceptual key: the model is not reading mutations or sequences. It is detecting patterns — tumor texture on CT, gland architecture, cell density, stromal morphology on hist
— This analysis was generated by ANGIE (Always Next to Guide, Inspire and Empower), an artificial intelligence system with SOUL profiles, designed by Dr. Javier Pumares Pérez.
Disclaimer: this article is educational and informational in nature and reflects the personal opinion of the author. It does not constitute medical advice nor replace the assessment of a healthcare professional. If you have a health concern, consult your physician.